Gif de virus msn

When Michael Lewis began work on his book about America's failed response to the pandemic, he had a beginning but no middle or end. John Dickerson: When you were writing this book, it was still unfolding. Had you ever done that before?

Michael Lewis: I did something a little unusual with this book. Into my lap landed, I think, three of the best of the characters I've ever had. And I thought let's just write the people and worry about how the story plays out when the story plays out. I got the richest narrative I think I've ever had. John Dickerson: What you describe in the book is a need for people who have the risk-taking muscle, who are gonna take risks when the information is bad because they know, if you wait for the information to be good, you'll be going to a lot of funerals.

Is that where The Premonition — the title of the book comes from? Michael Lewis: That's exactly where the title of the book comes from. In this case, I came to appreciate the power of intuition. And it isn't just random intuition, it's trained intuition. You have to be able to look around the corner. You have to be able to see a little further that it's, than is really visible. John Dickerson: You've done this in a lot of your books, though.

You find the person who knows actually what's going on, but who nobody's listening to. There's something about the way institutions work that the voice that knows what's going on is in the wilderness. Michael Lewis: There are times when working on this it reminded me a bit of The Big Short, where the world has collapsed and you find these people who are actually not just predicting collapse but actually describing exactly how it was gonna collapse 'cause they actually understood it.

And they aren't the people you'd expect. Lewis writes that at the beginning of the pandemic one of those people was Dr.

Charity Dean, a disease control expert, and the assistant director of California's Department of Public Health. In January of , Dean was alarmed when she saw images circulating on social media that appeared to show Chinese authorities welding apartment doors shut to keep residents indoors.

Charity Dean: And watching those videos on Twitter, 'cause I had no other source of information, I thought, 'They know something we don't and this is real. Dean's hunch was that international travel into California's major airports meant the virus was already circulating in her state. Dean did what she called "dirty math" on her whiteboard, plotting what the virus might do to California in the coming weeks.

John Dickerson: So you're doing the dirty math on the whiteboard and you step back and you think what? Her projection of 20 million cases meant half of California's population would be infected within four months unless officials intervened to slow the virus's path.

Charity Dean: Because I think it's just really hard for the human brain to grasp the exponential growth of an existential threat. John Dickerson: They didn't even let you use the word 'pandemic' when you wanted to, is that right? Charity Dean: I was asked to not say the word 'pandemic' because it might scare people.

But I was scared. Michael Lewis: Charity, who thinks she's all alone, all alone in the world, aware in January that this pandemic is gonna sweep through the United States and nobody's doing anything about it, including her state government. And nobody will listen to her. And all of a sudden, she's introduced to the Wolverines. When she finds these people, it's, like, yeah, these are my people.

Michael Lewis: The Wolverines were a group of seven doctors, all of whom at one point or another had worked in the White House together, and who stayed in contact and kind of helped the country navigate various, various previous disease outbreaks.

But they weren't in the decision making apparatus in the U. It had some obscure reference to the film "Red Dawn. Michael Lewis: …where these group of high school kids named the Wolverines go up and try to defeat the invading Russians. John Dickerson: In other words, the Wolverines had to take things into their own hands 'cause there was nobody to stop the invading force. John Dickerson: Because the people actually who were supposed to be fighting the disease weren't doing it. President Trump on January 22, We have it under control.

It's going to be just fine. In late January, as President Trump and the federal government publicly showed no urgency over the virus, Lewis writes that the Wolverines tried a work-around: getting the states to move. It's why the Wolverines recruited Charity Dean, hoping if she could push California to act, the federal response might quicken. Michael Lewis: She asks one of them, 'Who's running the pandemic response?

But to the degree that anybody's sort of running the pandemic response, we sort of are'. John Dickerson: This is fantastical, I think, to most Americans. Which is, they think there is something called the Centers for Disease Control. And there are big buildings in Washington that have Health and Human Services. Why did the Wolverines have to do what there are huge institutions designed to do?

Michael Lewis: That's a great question laughter. That's a very good question, right?. In the first place, the Trump administration abdicated responsibility for running the for the federal government. He just walked away from that. He said, 'Governors, you're on your own.

Carter Mecher: The frustration was when the pandemic virus emerges anywhere in the world, it's a threat to everyone everywhere. And the messages that we were hearing at the time when we're, you know, looking at the outbreak in China was that this was not a threat to the American public.

During the Bush administration, Mecher had helped write a detailed national pandemic response plan. Lewis reports that as the COVID threat grew in January , Mecher spent his days burrowed with his home computer in suburban Atlanta, from five in the morning until 11 at night, digging for data from open sources to make back-of-the-envelope calculations. He calls it redneck epidemiology.

Carter Mecher: It really was meant to convey being resourceful, to use whatever data we could get our hands on, to try to make sense, cause really that's what we were trying to do. Michael Lewis: This is the big thing. The big thing is he knows we need to get an answer fast. We need to get an answer before we know for sure. Because by the time we know for sure, we'll be overrun. He starts to Google websites in Wuhan that are in Chinese.

And he puts them in Google translate to find body counts, to find how many people have died. And when they died. And he finds that the Chinese are misreporting dates of deaths and numbers of deaths. Carter's able to figure out that this isn't just a bat infecting a person. These are people infecting other people at an incredible rate.

Six weeks before President Trump declared a national emergency, Mecher wrote in an email to the Wolverines on January "Any way you cut it, this is going to be bad… the projected size of the outbreak already seems hard to believe. Michael Lewis: Carter Mecher said, "This is, this thing is frightening. And I can show you why it's frightening. He had a reason. Korkuts Systemfrage: Wer spielt neben Maolida?

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